What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – November 27, 2023

There will be a very light week with the Holiday season approaching. The only notable reports to have come out for the week are the U.S. economic leading indicators, with nothing scheduled around Thanksgiving weekend. The median forecast for the leading indicators has shown that with the rest of the CPI and PPI data among other economic statistics, the economy does seem to be heading towards a soft landing as the Federal Reserve had initially targeted. The most notable changes are lending partners cutting rates with the potential for shifting economic policies and rate cuts in the future.

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators

The numbers: The leading economic index declined 0.8% in October and fell for the 19th month in a row, but the U.S. economy doesn’t appear any closer to a recession than when the losing streak began.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

The last 4 weeks have seen a week-to-week decline in rates.

  • 15-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.09% with the current rate at 6.67%.
  • 30-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.15% with the current rate at 7.29%.

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates decreased week-to-week, and we’re seeing a -0.12% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.65%.
  • 30-Yr VA rates decreased week-to-week, and we’re seeing a -0.13% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.65%

Jobless Claims
U.S. jobless claims drop to a five-week low of 209,000.
Initial Claims have decreased to 209,000 compared to the expected claims of 229,000. The prior week was 218,000.

What’s Ahead
With Thanksgiving in the rearview, we are also looking at many Federal Reserve chairmen speaking next week along with Q3 GDP data release reports. There is also Personal Income Spending and PCE Index which will demonstrate the strength of the economy at a personal level. Lastly, ISM manufacturing is a small but still worthwhile report to indicate production capacity for many trade aspects.

Uncovering the Hidden Issues Beyond Real Estate Inspections

Purchasing a home is one of the most significant financial investments one can make in one’s lifetime. However, beneath the glossy exterior of a prospective dream home lies a world of hidden issues that can have a profound impact on your investment.

While a traditional home inspection is a crucial part of the process, there’s more to consider beyond the surface. Let’s explore the importance of going beyond standard home inspections to uncover the hidden issues in real estate transactions and how they can save you from future headaches.

The Basics of Home Inspections

Before delving into hidden issues, it is important to first understand the fundamentals of home inspections. A standard home inspection typically covers the evaluation of a property’s structural integrity, mechanical systems, and overall condition. A certified home inspector examines visible aspects like the roof, plumbing, electrical systems, and the foundation, identifying any potential issues or necessary repairs.

However, it’s essential to recognize that a traditional home inspection has its limitations. Inspectors can only assess what’s visible and accessible during their visit, and they may not delve into deeper, hidden issues. This is where the need to go beyond standard inspections arises.

Hidden Issues in Real Estate Transactions

Mold and Mildew: Mold and mildew thrive in damp, dark, and hidden spaces. These issues can significantly affect indoor air quality and pose health risks to inhabitants. While inspectors may identify visible signs of mold, it’s crucial to consider comprehensive mold testing, especially if the property has a history of moisture problems.

Pest Infestations: Termites, rodents, and other pests can wreak havoc on a home’s structural integrity. Detecting these issues often requires specialized inspections. Pests can go unnoticed during a standard inspection, and their presence can lead to extensive and costly damage.

Electrical and Plumbing Within Walls: While a standard inspection can identify issues with visible electrical and plumbing systems, it doesn’t encompass what lies behind walls. Older homes, in particular, may have outdated wiring or plumbing that could be a hidden hazard.

Environmental Hazards: Hidden environmental hazards like radon, asbestos, or lead-based paint can have serious health implications. These require specific inspections to detect and address properly.

Foundation and Structural Problems: Some foundation issues may not be apparent during a standard inspection. These can lead to structural instability, which is a costly problem to rectify.

Unpermitted Additions or Renovations: Not all homeowners obtain the necessary permits for home improvements. Unpermitted additions or renovations can create legal and financial complications down the road.

How to Uncover Hidden Issues

Hire Specialized Inspectors: In addition to a general home inspection, consider specialized inspectors for particular concerns such as mold, pests, or environmental hazards. These professionals can identify issues that might be hidden from a standard inspector.

Review Property History: Research the property’s history for any known issues or renovations. Local building departments often hold records that can provide insights.

Consult a Real Estate Attorney: A real estate attorney can review property documents, such as titles and deeds, to uncover any potential issues. They can also help navigate legal aspects of the transaction.

Request Seller Disclosures: In many jurisdictions, sellers are required to disclose known issues with the property. Request these disclosures to gain a better understanding of potential hidden problems.

Purchasing a home is a significant life decision, and it’s essential to go beyond the surface during the real estate transaction process. While a standard home inspection is vital, it may not uncover all hidden issues that could affect the value and safety of your investment.

By hiring specialized inspectors, conducting thorough research, and seeking expert advice, you can make more informed decisions and protect yourself from costly surprises down the road. Remember, knowledge is power, and the more you uncover about a property, the better prepared you’ll be for your real estate journey.

Exploring the Diversity of Property Types: Finding Your Ideal Home

When it comes to finding the perfect place to call home, the variety of property types available can be both exciting and overwhelming. The real estate market offers a plethora of options, each with its own unique features, advantages, and considerations. From the cozy solitude of a single-family home to the dynamic potential of multi-family units and beyond, understanding these property types is key to making an informed and satisfying choice.

Single-Family Homes: Embrace Privacy and Independence

Single-family homes stand out for their independence and privacy. They are typically detached structures, providing you with sole ownership of both the house and the land it sits on. For those seeking a sense of personal space and autonomy, these homes often offer a great fit. They’re ideal for families, individuals valuing privacy, and those who prefer control over their living space.

Considerations:

Maintenance Responsibility: You’ll be solely responsible for all maintenance and upkeep.

Space and Expansion: Potential for outdoor space and room for expansion or personalization.

Multi-Family Units: Community Living and Investment Potential

Multi-family units, such as duplexes, triplexes, and apartment complexes, are designed to accommodate multiple households within the same building. They offer a sense of community and shared amenities, making them great for social individuals or those seeking a built-in network. From an investment perspective, they can generate rental income by leasing out the additional units.

Considerations:
Rental Income Potential:
Owning and renting out additional units can provide a consistent income stream.

Shared Responsibilities: Shared maintenance and potential community rules or regulations.

Condos and Townhouses: Balancing Ownership and Community

Condos and townhouses offer a blend of independence and shared amenities. You own your individual unit while sharing common spaces, such as gyms, pools, and landscaping, managed by a homeowners’ association. These properties are often more affordable than single-family homes and can suit individuals looking for a mix of ownership and communal living.

Considerations:
Association Fees: Monthly fees for shared amenities and maintenance.

Community Living: Living in close proximity to neighbors and abiding by HOA rules.

Making Your Decision

When exploring different property types, consider what matters most to you. Assess your lifestyle, future plans, financial capabilities, and personal preferences. What kind of living environment aligns best with your goals and values? Do you prioritize independence or enjoy communal living? Are you looking for an investment opportunity or a space to settle down in for the long term?

Finding the ideal property involves a balance between what you desire and what fits your practical needs. Exploring these various property types is an exciting journey toward finding your perfect place to call home.

In the diverse landscape of real estate, the variety of property types ensures that there’s something for everyone. Whether it’s the solitude of a single-family home, the vibrancy of a multi-family unit, or the unique charm of a specialty property, the right home is out there, waiting to welcome you.

Take the time to evaluate your needs, preferences, and long-term goals. Whether it’s the independence of a single-family home, the community spirit of multi-family units, or the tailored lifestyle of specialty properties, there’s a perfect match waiting for you in the diverse world of real estate.

How Will A Short Sale Affect Your Ability To Buy Another House In The Future?

A short sale is a real estate transaction in which a homeowner sells their property for less than the outstanding mortgage balance. While this option can provide relief to homeowners facing financial hardships, it also comes with consequences that may affect their ability to buy another house in the future. We will explore the impact of a short sale on your credit, eligibility for a new mortgage, and the steps you can take to mitigate these effects.

The Short Sale and Your Credit

One of the most immediate consequences of a short sale is its impact on your credit score. When you sell your home for less than the amount owed on your mortgage, the lender reports the debt as “settled” or “paid less than the full amount,” which can significantly lower your credit score.

A lower credit score can make it challenging to obtain new credit, including a mortgage for a future home purchase. Lenders rely on your credit score to assess your creditworthiness, and a low score may lead to higher interest rates, larger down payments, or even mortgage loan denials.

Eligibility for a New Mortgage

A short sale can also impact your eligibility for a new mortgage. Most lenders have waiting periods before they will consider your application for a new home loan. Typically, you can expect a waiting period of 2-7 years.

Mitigating the Impact of a Short Sale

While a short sale can affect your ability to buy another house in the future, there are steps you can take to mitigate its impact and improve your prospects of obtaining a new mortgage:

Rebuild Your Credit: Start by addressing any credit issues that led to the short sale. Make payments on time, reduce outstanding debts, and work to improve your credit score.

Save for a Down Payment: Building a significant down payment can make you a more attractive borrower to lenders. It also reduces the amount you need to borrow, which can lower your monthly mortgage payments.

Shop Around for Lenders: Different lenders have varying policies regarding waiting periods after a short sale. Some may be more lenient than others, so it’s essential to shop around and explore your options.

Consider Government-Backed Loans: FHA and VA loans may have more lenient requirements and shorter waiting periods for borrowers with a history of short sales.

A short sale can have a significant impact on your ability to buy another house in the future, primarily affecting your credit score and eligibility for a new mortgage. However, with patience, financial responsibility, and careful planning, you can improve your financial standing and increase your chances of becoming a homeowner once again. Be sure to consult with financial advisors, mortgage experts, and real estate professionals to navigate the complexities of post-short sale homeownership successfully.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – November 20, 2023

With the release of the CPI and PPI data, much of the broader market has been anticipating the potential cooling of inflation numbers month-to-month and those expectations have been met. There’s a consistent trend of inflation slowing down which brings a greater potential for the end of any rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, signaling a soft-landing for the economy which has been touted by Jerome Powell. With a soft landing, it does also signal a strong potential for the Federal Reserve to begin lowering rates in the coming future. 

Consumer Price Index

Despite the report beating inflation expectations and leading to optimistic outcomes for a future soft-landing for the economy, there is still plenty to be cautious about with the reports also signaling the largest reduction was due to the price of gasoline declining significantly from the prior month. The overall cost of living has remained stable and not increased, but there is still plenty to look out for with the coming reports.

  •  The consumer price index was flat in October from the previous month but increased 3.2% from a year ago.
  •   Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose 0.2% and 4%, against the forecast of 0.3% and 4.1%. The annual rate was the smallest increase since September 2021.
  • The flat reading on the headline CPI came as energy prices declined 2.5% for the month, offsetting a 0.3% increase in the food index.

Producer Price Index
The Producer Price Index for final demand fell 0.5 percent in October, seasonally adjusted, after 
advancing 0.4 percent in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. (See Table A). The October decline is the largest decrease in final demand prices since a 1.2-percent drop in April 2020. On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand rose 1.3 percent for the 12 months ended in October.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index
The last 3 weeks have seen a week-to-week decline in rates.

  •     15-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.05% with the current rate at 6.76%.
  •     30-Yr FRM rates seeing a week-to-week decrease by -0.06% with the current rate at 7.44%

MND Rate Index

  •    30-Yr FHA rates increased week to week seeing a -0.21% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.70%
  •   30-Yr VA  rates increased week to week seeing a -0.02% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.72%

Jobless Claims
Weekly jobless claims have exceeded expectations this week, with it showing a slight uptrend. Initial Claims have increased to 231,000 compared to the expected claims of 220,000. The prior week was 218,000. 

What’s Ahead
Thanksgiving week, being next week will see a reduction in the data release schedule. The largest ones will be U.S. leading economic indicator reports, with the usual initial jobless claims, and lastly the final consumer sentiment report for the quarter.