01 Jul 2022
By Kevin Gahagan

Case-Shiller: Home Price Growth Slows in April

Financial Reports

Case-Shiller: Home Price Growth Slows in April

U.S. home price growth continued but slowed in April according to the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices. The national home price index posted year-over-year home price growth of 20.4 percent in April as compared to the corresponding home price growth rate of 20.6 percent in March. Analysts said that diminishing affordability was slowing rapid gains in home prices seen during the pandemic.

20-City Home Price Index: Florida and Arizona Report Top Home Price Growth Rates

The top three cities for year-over-year home price growth in April’s 20-City Home Price Index were Tampa, Florida with a reading of 35.8 percent; Miami, Florida reported 33.3 percent growth and Phoenix, Arizona reported a year-over-year home price growth rate of 31.3 percent.

Nine of the 20 cities included in the index reported higher price gains in April as compared to March. All 20 cities reported higher home prices in April than in March. While analysts noted the slower pace of home price growth, they cautioned against expecting falling home prices any time soon. Craig J. Lazzara, managing director of S&P Dow Jones Indices said that April’s increase in home prices ranked in the top 20 percent of historical experience for every city, and in the top 10 percent for 19 of the cities included in the 20-City Home Price Index.

FHFA House Price Index: Home Prices Rise in April

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported a year-over-year home price growth rate of 18.8 percent for single-family homes owned or financed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Home prices of homes owned or financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac rose at a month-to-month pace of 1.6 percent in April.

The FHFA Home Price Index reports on home prices across the nine Census divisions; month-to-month home price growth ranged from 0.3 percent in the East South-Central division to 14.1 percent in the Mid-Atlantic division to 23.5 percent in the South Atlantic division. The FHFA Home Price Index is based on single-family home sales data from more than 400 cities in all 50 states. 

27 Jun 2022
By Kevin Gahagan

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – June 27, 2022

Financial Reports

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - June 27, 2022

Last week’s economic reporting included readings on home sales, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony on monetary policy to the House Financial Services Committee, and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

New Home Sales Pace Rises as Pre-Owned Homes Sales Pace Slows

The Commerce Department reported a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 696,000 new homes sold in May; analysts predicted a year-over-year pace of 587,000 new homes sold as compared to April’s year-over-year pace of 629,000  new homes sold. While the year-over-year pace of new home sales increased by 10.70 percent month-to-month in May, the year-over-year sales pace for new homes fell by 5.90 percent.

Increasing materials and labor costs continued to challenge home builders, but high demand for homes fueled sales of new homes even as mortgage rates and home prices rose.  The median price of new homes sold in May fell to $449,000 from April’s record high of $454,700. The inventory of available homes fell by 7.20 percent in May, which equaled a 7.70-month supply of new homes for sale.

Regional results for new home sales were mixed; sales of new homes fell by -51.10 percent in the Northeast and were -18.30 percent lower in the Midwest. New home sales rose by 12.80 percent in the South and were 39.30 percent higher in the West.

In other news, Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke on monetary policy before the House Financial Services Committee and explained the Fed’s strategy to ease inflation through a series of interest rate increases intended to cut into consumers’ purchasing power. 

Mortgage Rates Rise; New Jobless Claims Fall

Freddie Mac reported higher average mortgage rates last week as the rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by three basis points to 5.81 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 4.92 percent and were 11 basis points higher than in the previous week. The average rate for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages was eight basis points higher at 4.41 percent. Discount points averaged 0.80 percent for 30-ye

ar fixed-rate mortgages and 0.90 percent for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages.

Initial jobless claims fell to 229,000 new filings last week as compared to 231,000 new claims filed in the previous week. Analysts expected 225,000 new jobless claims last week. Continuing jobless claims inched up with 1.32 million continuing claims filed as compared to the previous week’s reading of 1.31 ongoing jobless claims filed.

The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index fell to an index reading of 50.0 for June as compared to May’s reading of 50.2 and the expected June reading of 50.2. Consumer concerns over fuel prices and rising inflation eroded consumer confidence in the economy. Readings above 50 indicate that most consumers have a positive outlook on current economic conditions.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reports include readings from Case-Shiller on home prices, pending home sales,  and construction spending. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released.

05 May 2022
By Kevin Gahagan

Many Millennials Need More Space

Mortgage

Many Millennials Need More SpaceThere are many Millennials who are looking for a home, and many of them are getting ready to trade up for more space. If you think you need more space, you may have more buying power than you realize. The coronavirus pandemic has led to a lot of changes, and you might be able to use the equity in your home to purchase a bigger house with more features.

Why Millennials Are Looking For Bigger Homes

There are a few reasons why many Millennials are looking for bigger homes. First, the coronavirus pandemic forced many people to work from home. This meant that a lot of people, including Millennials, needed a home office. In some cases, this means looking for a home with an extra room. 

In addition, many Millennials have had children during the past few years. This means they need one or two extra bedrooms, and probably another bathroom. This means moving into a home that has more space. 

Millennials Can Use The Equity In Their Homes

A lot of Millennials are still cash-strapped by student loans, but they might have more buying power than they realize. Due to the skyrocketing home prices during the past few years, Millennials may have built up a lot of equity in their homes. They can tap into this equity by selling their current houses for a significant profit. Then, they can roll this profit into a bigger house with a home office, extra bedrooms, more bathrooms, and a variety of extra features. 

How To Choose A New Home

Many Millennials are ready to use their newfound purchasing power to purchase a bigger house, but it is important to find the right one. Just because the house has more space doesn’t necessarily mean it is laid out properly. The bedrooms have to be the right size, particularly if their children are going to have a lot of toys. The home office also needs to be in a location where people will not be distracted while working. Finally, it might be beneficial to find a home office that can be used for more than one purpose. Some Millennials may be getting ready to go back to a physical office in the near future, and it would be beneficial to have a home office that can be used for different things. 

 

27 Apr 2022
By Kevin Gahagan

Case-Shiller, FHFA Post New Records for Home Price Growth

Financial Reports

Case-Shiller, FHFA Post New Records for Home Price GrowthS&P Case-Shiller’s National Home Price Index rose by 19.80 percent year-over-year in February and was the third-largest pace of home price growth since the National Home Price Index’s inception. The 20-City Home Price Index reported that Phoenix, Arizona held its first-place ranking with year-over-year home price growth of 32.90 percent. Tampa, Florida maintained its second-place standing with year-over-year home price growth of 32.60 percent. Miami, Florida reported year-over-year home price growth of 29.70 percent year-over-year. Home prices rose faster for all 20 cities in February than in January.

Rapid Home Price Growth Expected to Slow as Rising Mortgage Rates Take Hold

All 20 cities included in the 20-City Home Price Index posted double-digit price growth in February, but analysts cautioned that the two-month lag in reporting didn’t accurately reflect current market conditions.  Recent data on home sales and mortgage applications indicated that demand for homes is slowing due to affordability challenges caused by rapidly rising home prices and mortgage rates. Economists expect the housing market to cool as would-be home buyers face mortgage qualification and affordability challenges.

Craig J. Lazzara, managing director of S&P Dow Jones Indices, said: “The macroeconomic environment is evolving rapidly and may not support extraordinary home-price growth for much longer.” Mr. Lazzara also said that rising mortgage rates have not yet impacted home-price data, but would likely do so soon.

Selma Hepp, a  chief deputy economist at CoreLogic, said: “With diminished buying power and mortgage rates pushing above five percent in recent weeks, home- price growth is likely to take a step back in coming months.” Economists generally expect home price growth to slow as sales volume declines.

FHFA Reports  Record Home Price Growth in February

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported that home prices rose by 19.40 percent year-over-year; home prices for single-family homes owned by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac rose by 1.10 percent from January to February.  FHFA reported higher home prices across all nine census divisions. Home prices grew fastest in the Mountain Division, where home prices rose by 24.30 percent year-over-year in February.

Will Doerner, Ph. D   and Supervisory Economist at FHFA’s Division of Research and Statistics, said: “House prices rose to a new historical record in February. Acceleration approached twice the monthly rate as seen a year ago. Housing prices continue to rise owing in part to supply constraints.” Rising materials costs, labor, and lot shortages continued to rein in new home construction.

28 Feb 2022
By Kevin Gahagan

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – February 28, 2022

Financial Reports

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – February 28, 2022Last week’s economic reporting included readings on home prices from S&P Case-Shiller and the Federal Housing Finance Agency; data on pending home sales and sales of new homes were also released. The University of Michigan released its final February reading on consumer sentiment and weekly reports on average mortgage rates and jobless claims were also published.

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices: Home Price Growth Expected to Slow in 2022

December readings from S&P Case Shiller suggested a slowing pace of home price growth in 2022 but analysts said that home prices are not expected to decrease. Case-Shiller’s National Home Price Index showed an 18.80 percent increase in home prices year-over-year. S&P Case-Shiller’s 20-City Home Price Index reported that Phoenix, Arizona held on to its first-place standing for home price growth with home prices increasing by 32.50 percent year-over-year. Tampa, Florida home prices rose by 29.40 percent, and the Miami, Florida metro area reported home price growth of 27.30 percent. Analysts expect that home prices will continue to rise, but not at the extreme pace seen in 2021.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees properties owned and financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported year-over-year home price growth of 17.60 percent as of December. Analysts said that January’s bad weather, rising mortgage rates, and continued impacts of  Covid-19 and its variants decreased sales of new homes by 9.30 percent in January. The National Association of Realtors® reported supplies of available homes were in the normal range with a 6.1-month supply of homes available. A six-month supply of available homes is considered an average inventory.

Mortgage Rates, Jobless Claims

Freddie Mac reported lower average rates for fixed-rate mortgages as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by three basis points to 3.89 percent; rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped one basis point to an average of 3.14 percent. Rates for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages were unchanged at 2.98 percent. Discount points averaged 0.80 percent for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages and 0.70 percent for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages. Discount points for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 0.30 percent.

Initial jobless claims were lower last week with 232,000 new claims filed as compared to the prior week’s reading of 249,000 initial claims filed. Analysts expected 235,000 new jobless claims to be filed last week. 1.48 million continuing jobless claims were filed last week as compared to the prior week’s reading of 1.59 million continuing jobless claims filed.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reading includes data on construction spending, public and private sector jobs, and the national unemployment rate. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released.