15 Aug 2024
By divfundposts

The Impact of Inflation on Mortgage Rates and Homebuying Power

Mortgage Rates

In today’s economic climate, inflation has become a hot topic, especially for potential homebuyers. Understanding how inflation affects mortgage rates and your homebuying power is crucial. Let’s see how it can impact your journey to homeownership.

What is Inflation?

First and foremost, inflation refers to the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises. When inflation is high, purchasing power decreases because each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services.

How Inflation Affects Mortgage Rates

Inflation and mortgage rates are closely linked. Here’s how:

  1. Rising Interest Rates: When inflation increases, central banks often raise interest rates to curb spending and bring inflation under control. This, in turn, affects mortgage rates, which are tied to these broader interest rates.
  2. Higher Borrowing Costs: As mortgage rates rise, the cost of borrowing increases. For potential homebuyers, this means higher monthly mortgage payments for the same loan amount.

Impact on Homebuying Power

So, what does this mean for your homebuying power?

  1. Reduced Affordability: Higher mortgage rates translate to higher monthly payments. This means you might not qualify for as large a loan as you would in a low-rate environment. Consequently, the homes you can afford may be less expensive.
  2. Price Adjustments: On the flip side, higher mortgage rates can lead to a slowdown in home price appreciation or even a decline in home prices. Sellers might lower their prices to attract buyers who are now facing higher borrowing costs.

Strategies to Navigate Inflation’s Impact

Understanding the impact of inflation is essential, but knowing how to navigate it is even more important. Here are some strategies:

  1. Lock-in Rates: If you’re planning to buy a home soon, consider locking in your mortgage rate to protect against future rate increases.
  2. Adjust Your Budget: Reevaluate your budget to ensure you can comfortably afford the higher payments that come with increased rates.
  3. Explore Different Loan Options: Look into various mortgage products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), which might offer lower initial rates.
  4. Improve Your Credit Score: A higher credit score can help you secure better interest rates, even in an inflationary environment.

Long-Term Considerations

When thinking about the long-term implications of inflation on your homebuying journey, it’s essential to consider future financial stability. While higher mortgage rates may seem daunting now, owning a home can still be a solid investment over time. Real estate often appreciates, providing equity that can benefit you in the long run.

Inflation’s impact on mortgage rates and home buying power is undeniable. By staying informed and adjusting your strategies, you can still achieve your dream of homeownership despite the challenges. Remember, the key is to plan and be flexible in your approach.

06 Jul 2023
By Kevin Gahagan

How To Beat High Inflation with a Home Purchase

Mortgage

How To Beat High Inflation with a Home PurchaseInflation can erode the value of your savings over time, and one way to hedge against inflation is by investing in assets that appreciate in value over time. Real estate is often considered a good hedge against inflation, as property values tend to rise in line with inflation.

Here are some ways a home purchase can help beat high inflation:

Lock in a low-interest rate mortgage: High inflation often leads to higher interest rates, but if you lock in a low-interest rate mortgage when inflation is low, you can benefit from lower mortgage payments even if interest rates rise in the future. This can free up more money for other expenses and investments.

Appreciation: Real estate values tend to rise over time, especially in areas with high demand and limited supply. If you purchase a home in an area that is likely to appreciate, you can benefit from the increase in value over time.

Rental income: If you purchase a home as an investment property, you can generate rental income that increases with inflation. Rental income can provide a steady stream of passive income that can keep up with inflation.

Tax benefits: Homeowners can deduct mortgage interest and property taxes from their federal income taxes, which can help offset the costs of homeownership. These deductions can be especially valuable during times of high inflation when other deductions may lose value.

Diversification: Investing in real estate can diversify your investment portfolio, reducing the overall risk of inflation. Real estate has historically performed well during periods of inflation and can provide a valuable hedge against the erosion of purchasing power caused by inflation.

It’s important to note that buying a home should be a long-term investment strategy, and not a short-term solution to beat inflation. Real estate values can fluctuate over short periods of time, and it may take several years to recoup your investment. It’s also important to consider the costs of homeownership, such as maintenance, repairs, and property taxes, when evaluating the potential benefits of purchasing a home.

17 Jan 2023
By Kevin Gahagan

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – January 17, 2023

Financial Reports

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - January 17, 2023

Last week’s financial reporting was dominated by readings on inflation. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen cautioned lawmakers that the debt ceiling must be raised or eliminated.

Inflation slows in December

Month-to-month inflation slowed by -0.1 percent in December and matched analysts’ expectations. This was the first slowing of inflation since the pandemic and the highest inflation reading since inflation reached its highest level in 40 years. Inflation rose by 0.1 percent in November. Year-over-year inflation rose by 6.5 percent, which matched expectations, and fell short of the November reading of 7.1 percent inflation.

Consumer prices fell for the sixth consecutive month in December. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel sectors, rose by 0.3 percent in December and matched analysts’ expectations. Slowing inflation is expected, but the  Federal Reserve has signaled its intention to continue raising its target interest rate range.

The University of Michigan projected that inflation will rise by 4.00 percent year-over-year in January as compared to December’s reading of 4.4 percent and the 40-year peak rate of  9.1 percent posted last summer.

Treasury Secretary: U.S. debt limit is looming

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen announced that the U.S. debt ceiling is approaching and encouraged lawmakers to either raise or eliminate the debt ceiling to avoid the U.S. defaulting on its obligations. Ms. Yellen wrote in a letter to U.S. lawmakers, “While Treasury is not currently able to estimate how long extraordinary measures will enable us to continue to pay the government’s obligations, it’s unlikely that cash and extraordinary measures would be exhausted before early June.”

Ms. Yellen emphasized that increasing or removing the debt ceiling would not result in additional spending, but would allow the government to continue financing existing obligations made by lawmakers and Presidents of both parties. Secretary Yellen cautioned that failure to address the debt ceiling would “cause irreparable harm to the U.S. economy, the livelihoods of all Americans, and global financial stability.”

Mortgage Rates, Jobless Claims

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by 15 basis points to 6.33 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by 21 basis points to 5.52 percent.

205,000 new jobless claims were filed last week, which fell short of projections for 210,000 initial claims filed and the previous week’s reading of 206,000 first-time claims filed. 1.63 million continuing jobless claims were filed as compared to the previous week’s reading of 1.70 million ongoing claims filed.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reports include readings from the National Association of Home Builders on housing markets, readings on housing starts, and building permits issued.

18 Jul 2022
By Kevin Gahagan

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 18, 2022

Financial Reports

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - July 18, 2022Inflation dominated last week’s economic readings and predictions as it hit a year-over-year growth rate of  9.10 percent in July. Inflation reached its highest year-over-year growth rate since 1981. Gasoline prices eased somewhat, but not enough to provide relief against a backdrop of high housing and food prices. Low and moderate-income consumers were disproportionately impacted as rents rose beyond near-record inflation and home prices remained out of reach for many would-be home buyers.

Inflation Causing Hardship for Moderate-Income Consumers

Consumers faced with rapidly growing expenses turned to credit cards for purchasing food and household items; this trend suggests that as interest rates rise, more households could experience increasing financial stress as paying off consumer debt becomes more difficult.

The Consumer Price Index rose by 1.3 percent in June on a month-to-month basis; analysts expected a month-to-month reading of 1.1 percent inflationary growth based on May’s reading of 1.0 percent growth. The core Consumer Price Index, which excludes volatile food and fuel sectors, rose by 0.70 percent in June and exceeded analysts’ expected reading of 0.50 percent growth and May’s month-to-month reading of 0.60 percent growth.

Year-over-year inflation reached 9.10 percent in June and surpassed analysts’ expectations of 8.80 percent- year-over-year-inflationary growth and May’s year-over-year reading of 8.60 percent growth. Core inflation rose by 5.90 percent year-over-year in June and fell short of analysts’ forecasts of 5.7 percent year-over-year growth. May’s year-over-year reading for inflationary growth was 6.0 percent and could suggest that inflation has peaked.

Mortgage Rates Rise After Fed Raises Key Interest Rate Range

Although the Federal Reserve raised its key interest rate range in an attempt to slow inflation, mortgage rates also rose last week. Freddie Mac reported that rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 21 basis points to 5.51 percent on average. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 22 basis points higher at 4.67 percent. The average rate for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages was 16 basis points higher at 4.35 percent; discount points averaged 0.80 percent for fixed-rate mortgages and 0.20 percent for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages.

New jobless claims rose last week with 244,000 first-time claims filed as compared to the previous week’s reading of 235,000 initial jobless claims filed. Fewer ongoing jobless claims were filed last week with 1.33 million continuing claims filed as compared to the prior week’s reading of 1.37 million ongoing jobless claims filed.

Consumer concerns over inflation eased in July with a preliminary reading of 51.1 reported in the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer confidence index. Any reading over 50 indicates that most consumers surveyed were confident about current economic conditions.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on home prices, building permits issued, and housing starts. Data on sales of previously-owned homes will be released along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.  

 

14 Feb 2022
By Kevin Gahagan

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – February 14, 2022

Financial Reports

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - February 14, 2022Last week’s economic reporting included readings on inflation and the University of Michigan’s preliminary February reporting on consumer sentiment. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

Inflation Rises as Fed Considers Raising Key Rate

The government’s Consumer Price Index for January reported that month-to-month inflation rose by 0.60 percent as compared to an expected increase of 0.40 percent which was based on December’s month-to-month increase of 0.50 percent.  Year-over-year inflation rose to a rate of 7.50 percent, which was the highest inflation rate in 40 years. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy sectors, also rose 0.60 percent in January from December’s reading of 5.50 percent.

Analysts said that the Federal Reserve will likely raise its key federal funds rate range to help slow inflation, but drastic dips in the inflation rate aren’t expected. While the Fed predicted inflation to ease in a statement made last December, inflation has only increased. The Fed’s strategy of raising interest rates would ease high consumer demand and help slow rapidly rising prices for housing, goods, and services.

Mortgage Rates Rise, Jobless Claims and Consumer Sentiment Fall

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 14 basis points to 3.69 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 16 basis points to 2.93 percent. Rates for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 2.80 percent and nine basis points higher. Discount points averaged 0.80 percent for fixed-rate mortgages and 0.30 percent for  5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages.

223,000 new jobless claims were filed last week as compared to the prior week’s reading of 239,000 first-time claims filed. No information for continuing jobless claims was released last week.

The University of Michigan reported a preliminary index reading of 61.7 for January’s Consumer Sentiment Index. This was the lowest consumer sentiment reading in ten years and was attributed to consumer concerns over rising inflation.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic news includes readings from the National Association of Home Builders on housing market conditions, Commerce Department readings on building permits issued, and housing starts. Data on sales of pre-owned homes will be released along with weekly reporting on mortgage rates and jobless claims.